Brief
history of Forex trading
Initially, the value of goods was
expressed in terms of other goods, i.e. an economy based on barter
between individual market participants. The obvious limitations of
such a system encouraged establishing more generally accepted
means of exchange at a fairly early stage in history, to set a
common benchmark of value. In different economies, everything from
teeth to feathers to pretty stones has served this purpose, but
soon metals, in particular gold and silver, established themselves
as an accepted means of payment as well as a reliable storage of
value.
Originally, coins were simply
minted from the preferred metal, but in stable political regimes
the introduction of a paper form of governmental IOUs (I owe you)
gained acceptance during the Middle Ages. Such IOUs, often
introduced more successfully through force than persuasion were
the basis of modern currencies.
Before the First World War, most
central banks supported their currencies with convertibility to
gold. Although paper money could always be exchanged for gold, in
reality this did not occur often, fostering the sometimes
disastrous notion that there was not necessarily a need for full
cover in the central reserves of the government.
At times, the ballooning supply
of paper money without gold cover led to devastating inflation and
resulting political instability. To protect local national
interests, foreign exchange controls were increasingly introduced
to prevent market forces from punishing monetary irresponsibility.
In the latter stages of the
Second World War, the Bretton Woods agreement was reached on the
initiative of the USA in July 1944. The Bretton Woods Conference
rejected John Maynard Keynes suggestion for a new world reserve
currency in favour of a system built on the US dollar. Other
international institutions such as the IMF, the World Bank and
GATT (General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade) were created in the
same period as the emerging victors of WW2 searched for a way to
avoid the destabilising monetary crises which led to the war. The
Bretton Woods agreement resulted in a system of fixed exchange
rates that partly reinstated the gold standard, fixing the US
dollar at USD35/oz and fixing the other main currencies to the
dollar - and was intended to be permanent.
The Bretton Woods system came
under increasing pressure as national economies moved in different
directions during the sixties. A number of realignments kept the
system alive for a long time, but eventually Bretton Woods
collapsed in the early seventies following president Nixon's
suspension of the gold convertibility in August 1971. The dollar
was no longer suitable as the sole international currency at a
time when it was under severe pressure from increasing US budget
and trade deficits.
The following decades have seen
foreign exchange trading develop into the largest global market by
far. Restrictions on capital flows have been removed in most
countries, leaving the market forces free to adjust foreign
exchange rates according to their perceived values.
But the idea of fixed exchange
rates has by no means died. The EEC (European Economic Community)
introduced a new system of fixed exchange rates in 1979, the
European Monetary System. This attempt to fix exchange rates met
with near extinction in 1992-93, when pent-up economic pressures
forced devaluations of a number of weak European currencies.
Nevertheless, the quest for currency stability has continued in
Europe with the renewed attempt to not only fix currencies but
actually replace many of them with the Euro in 2001.
The lack of sustainability in
fixed foreign exchange rates gained new relevance with the events
in South East Asia in the latter part of 1997, where currency
after currency was devalued against the US dollar, leaving other
fixed exchange rates, in particular in South America, looking very
vulnerable.
But while commercial companies
have had to face a much more volatile currency environment in
recent years, investors and financial institutions have found a
new playground. The size of foreign exchange markets now dwarfs
any other investment market by a large factor. It is estimated
that more than USD1,200 billion is traded every day, far more than
the world's stock and bond markets combined.